Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.161065 0.181254 0.202397 0.226135 0.251989 0.279242 0.310083
2025-02-16 0.134535 0.161915 0.192045 0.227476 0.267808 0.312098 0.364214
2025-02-23 0.118942 0.151607 0.189086 0.234868 0.288865 0.350103 0.424361
2025-03-02 0.101760 0.137010 0.179079 0.232304 0.297124 0.372770 0.466942
2025-03-09 0.089146 0.126258 0.172170 0.232111 0.307198 0.397022 0.511376
2025-03-16 0.078267 0.116358 0.165111 0.230649 0.314894 0.417949 0.551791
2025-03-23 0.071688 0.111287 0.163516 0.235530 0.330166 0.448136 0.603927
2025-03-30 0.064329 0.104332 0.158704 0.235572 0.338783 0.469800 0.645595
2025-04-06 0.057868 0.097947 0.154027 0.235222 0.346465 0.490083 0.685626
2025-04-13 0.052258 0.092217 0.149721 0.234888 0.353813 0.509782 0.725037
2025-04-20 0.047961 0.088023 0.147206 0.236711 0.363875 0.533032 0.769333
2025-04-27 0.045351 0.086185 0.147917 0.242986 0.380082 0.564674 0.825199
2025-05-04 0.041343 0.081904 0.144916 0.244038 0.389462 0.588005 0.871520
2025-05-11 0.038252 0.078834 0.143516 0.247289 0.401966 0.615831 0.924480
2025-05-18 0.036697 0.078225 0.145867 0.256194 0.422814 0.655607 0.994501
2025-05-25 0.032977 0.073427 0.141172 0.253996 0.427217 0.672393 1.033164
2025-06-01 0.030083 0.069814 0.138114 0.254086 0.434850 0.693745 1.078423
2025-06-08 0.027212 0.065926 0.134290 0.252677 0.440033 0.711557 1.118913
2025-06-15 0.025739 0.064586 0.134687 0.258004 0.455528 0.744459 1.181212
2025-06-22 0.023567 0.061610 0.132008 0.258097 0.462844 0.765496 1.226889
2025-06-29 0.021530 0.058681 0.129185 0.257746 0.469343 0.785347 1.271091
2025-07-06 0.019681 0.055932 0.126480 0.257401 0.475733 0.805052 1.315306
2025-07-13 0.018289 0.054026 0.125188 0.259366 0.485785 0.830341 1.367991